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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199603

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
4
2
1
1
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
20
24
9
53
2
1
1
4
22
25
10
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
25
25
100
50
25
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
35
42
16
93
4
2
2
7
39
44
18
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.439
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 4.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.12 0.40
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: 0.158
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.032
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: 0.158
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.029
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.250
threat score:
0.000 0.444 0.077
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.025 0.024
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.960 0.100
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.750
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.547 0.750
samples: 4 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 7.02 %coverage: 100.00