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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199604

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
19
15
22
56
1
0
0
1
20
15
22
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
33
26
39
98
2
0
0
2
35
26
39
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.263
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.73 0.05
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.105
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.003
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.105
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.003
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.268 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.006 -0.017
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.732 1.000
samples: 1 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 1.75 %coverage: 100.00