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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199606

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
17
26
13
56
0
0
1
1
17
26
14
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
33
33
67
0
0
33
33
0
33
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
30
46
23
98
0
0
2
2
30
46
25
100

hitrate: 0.667 hitrate: 0.474
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 2.00 0.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.15 0.07
Heidke skill score: 0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.211
true Heidke skill score: 0.400 true Heidke skill score: 0.039
Kuipers skill score: 0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.211
true Kuipers skill score: 0.500 true Kuipers skill score: 0.033
threat score:
0.000 0.500 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.464 0.071
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.250 0.250
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.015 0.055
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.500
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.071
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.500 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.536 0.000
samples: 3 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 5.26 %coverage: 100.00