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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199607

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
4
1
3
1
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
15
17
21
53
1
2
1
4
16
19
22
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
20
0
20
20
40
20
80
20
60
20
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
26
30
37
93
2
4
2
7
28
33
39
100

hitrate: 0.400 hitrate: 0.316
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.33 4.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.79 0.18
Heidke skill score: 0.100 Heidke skill score: -0.026
true Heidke skill score: 0.167 true Heidke skill score: -0.032
Kuipers skill score: 0.100 Kuipers skill score: -0.026
true Kuipers skill score: 0.214 true Kuipers skill score: -0.032
threat score:
0.000 0.333 0.250
threat score:
0.000 0.309 0.040
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.167 0.062
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.018 -0.023
probability of detection:
0.000 0.333 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.895 0.045
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.750
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.679 0.750
samples: 5 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 8.77 %coverage: 100.00