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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199608

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
2
0
0
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
21
17
17
55
2
0
0
2
23
17
17
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
37
30
30
96
4
0
0
4
40
30
30
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.298
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.24 0.12
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.053
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.000
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.053
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.309 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.015 -0.032
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.691 1.000
samples: 2 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 3.51 %coverage: 100.00