CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199612

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
0
2
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
17
12
26
55
1
0
1
2
18
12
27
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
33
33
33
0
33
67
33
0
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
30
21
46
96
2
0
2
4
32
21
47
100

hitrate: 0.333 hitrate: 0.228
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.58 0.07
Heidke skill score: 0.000 Heidke skill score: -0.158
true Heidke skill score: -0.200 true Heidke skill score: 0.011
Kuipers skill score: 0.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.158
true Kuipers skill score: -0.250 true Kuipers skill score: 0.013
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.333
threat score:
0.000 0.218 0.036
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 -0.200
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.010 0.002
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.500
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.037
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.782 0.500
samples: 3 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 5.26 %coverage: 100.00