CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199705

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
1
1
1
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
18
22
14
54
1
1
1
3
19
23
15
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
33
33
33
100
33
33
33
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
39
25
95
2
2
2
5
33
40
26
100

hitrate: 0.333 hitrate: 0.404
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 3.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.35 0.20
Heidke skill score: 0.000 Heidke skill score: 0.105
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.012
Kuipers skill score: 0.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.105
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.011
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.333
threat score:
0.000 0.400 0.059
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.006 0.013
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.957 0.067
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.667
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.593 0.667
samples: 3 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 5.26 %coverage: 100.00