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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199712

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
28
13
15
56
0
1
0
1
28
14
15
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
50
0
0
50
0
50
0
50
50
50
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
49
23
26
98
0
2
0
2
49
25
26
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.228
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.00 0.07
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.158
true Heidke skill score: -0.333 true Heidke skill score: -0.024
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.158
true Kuipers skill score: -0.500 true Kuipers skill score: -0.028
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.228 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.333 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.017 -0.017
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.929 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.768 1.000
samples: 2 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 3.51 %coverage: 100.00