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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199801

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
0
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
6
16
34
56
0
1
0
1
6
17
34
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
67
0
0
67
0
33
0
33
67
33
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
11
28
60
98
0
2
0
2
11
30
60
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.281
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.29 0.03
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.079
true Heidke skill score: -0.286 true Heidke skill score: -0.033
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.079
true Kuipers skill score: -0.500 true Kuipers skill score: -0.042
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.281 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.286 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.017 -0.017
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.941 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.714 1.000
samples: 3 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 5.26 %coverage: 100.00