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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199803

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
4
5
0
2
4
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
19
29
52
0
1
4
5
4
20
33
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
17
0
17
0
17
67
83
0
33
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
7
33
51
91
0
2
7
9
7
35
58
100

hitrate: 0.833 hitrate: 0.404
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.50 1.25
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.60 0.15
Heidke skill score: 0.750 Heidke skill score: 0.105
true Heidke skill score: 0.571 true Heidke skill score: 0.052
Kuipers skill score: 0.750 Kuipers skill score: 0.105
true Kuipers skill score: 0.500 true Kuipers skill score: 0.061
threat score:
0.000 0.500 0.800
threat score:
0.000 0.358 0.118
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.400 0.400
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.022 0.036
probability of detection:
0.000 0.500 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.950 0.121
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.200
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.635 0.200
samples: 6 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 10.53 %coverage: 100.00