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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199905

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
3
2
6
2
3
3
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
19
23
15
57
1
3
2
6
20
26
17
63

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
13
0
13
25
13
38
25
75
25
38
38
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
30
37
24
90
2
5
3
10
32
41
27
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.397
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.67 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.19 0.35
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: 0.095
true Heidke skill score: -0.200 true Heidke skill score: -0.004
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: 0.095
true Kuipers skill score: -0.190 true Kuipers skill score: -0.003
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.286
threat score:
0.000 0.383 0.095
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.176 -0.053
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.014 0.020
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.667
probability of detection:
0.000 0.885 0.118
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.667
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.596 0.667
samples: 8 out of 63 samples: 63 out of 63
%coverage: 12.70 %coverage: 100.00