CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199907

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
4
8
2
3
4
9

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
24
23
8
55
2
2
4
8
26
25
12
63

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
11
0
11
22
22
44
89
22
33
44
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
38
37
13
87
3
3
6
13
41
40
19
100

hitrate: 0.556 hitrate: 0.429
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.33 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.20 0.67
Heidke skill score: 0.333 Heidke skill score: 0.143
true Heidke skill score: 0.217 true Heidke skill score: 0.092
Kuipers skill score: 0.333 Kuipers skill score: 0.143
true Kuipers skill score: 0.192 true Kuipers skill score: 0.091
threat score:
0.000 0.333 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.404 0.250
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.250 0.100
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.033 0.171
probability of detection:
0.000 0.333 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.920 0.333
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.582 0.500
samples: 9 out of 63 samples: 63 out of 63
%coverage: 14.29 %coverage: 100.00