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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200002

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
3
4
14
7
3
4
14

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
17
13
20
50
7
3
4
14
24
16
24
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
21
29
100
50
21
29
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
27
20
31
78
11
5
6
22
38
25
38
100

hitrate: 0.286 hitrate: 0.266
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 3.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.12 0.58
Heidke skill score: -0.071 Heidke skill score: -0.102
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.016
Kuipers skill score: -0.071 Kuipers skill score: -0.102
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.018
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.286
threat score:
0.000 0.245 0.118
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.012 -0.043
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.812 0.167
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.714
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.740 0.714
samples: 14 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 21.88 %coverage: 100.00