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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200003

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
4
8
3
1
4
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
21
20
15
56
3
1
4
8
24
21
19
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
38
13
50
100
38
13
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
33
31
23
88
5
2
6
13
38
33
30
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.375
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.67 0.42
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: 0.062
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.075
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: 0.062
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.077
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.351 0.174
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.042 0.079
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.952 0.211
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.643 0.500
samples: 8 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 12.50 %coverage: 100.00