CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200012

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
1
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
38
19
8
65
0
1
0
1
38
20
8
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
50
25
75
0
25
0
25
0
75
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
58
29
12
98
0
2
0
2
58
30
12
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.288
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 1.00 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.25 0.12
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: -0.068
true Heidke skill score: -0.333 true Heidke skill score: -0.018
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: -0.068
true Kuipers skill score: -0.333 true Kuipers skill score: -0.022
threat score:
0.000 0.500 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.288 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.143 -0.143
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.015 -0.014
probability of detection:
0.000 0.667 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.950 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.333 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.708 1.000
samples: 4 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 6.06 %coverage: 100.00