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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200102

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
7
2
15
6
7
2
15

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
16
15
22
53
6
7
2
15
22
22
24
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
40
47
13
100
40
47
13
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
24
22
32
78
9
10
3
22
32
32
35
100

hitrate: 0.133 hitrate: 0.250
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 7.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.41 0.62
Heidke skill score: -0.300 Heidke skill score: -0.125
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.119
Kuipers skill score: -0.300 Kuipers skill score: -0.125
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.120
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.133
threat score:
0.000 0.250 0.054
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.050 -0.104
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.682 0.083
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.867
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.717 0.867
samples: 15 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 22.06 %coverage: 100.00