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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200103

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
7
1
3
3
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
25
17
19
61
1
3
3
7
26
20
22
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
14
43
43
100
14
43
43
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
37
25
28
90
1
4
4
10
38
29
32
100

hitrate: 0.429 hitrate: 0.294
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.33
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.05 0.32
Heidke skill score: 0.143 Heidke skill score: -0.059
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.004
Kuipers skill score: 0.143 Kuipers skill score: -0.059
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.005
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.429
threat score:
0.000 0.266 0.115
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.020 0.031
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.850 0.136
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.571
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.721 0.571
samples: 7 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 10.29 %coverage: 100.00