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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200104

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
27
20
19
66
0
1
0
1
27
21
19
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
40
30
28
99
0
1
0
1
40
31
28
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.299
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.14 0.05
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.052
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.021
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.052
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.022
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.299 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.015 -0.014
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.952 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.697 1.000
samples: 1 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 1.49 %coverage: 100.00