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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200107

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
0
3
0
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
20
17
26
63
0
3
0
3
20
20
26
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
30
26
39
95
0
5
0
5
30
30
39
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.258
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.15 0.12
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.114
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.072
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.114
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.075
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.258 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.045 -0.042
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.850 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.730 1.000
samples: 3 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 4.55 %coverage: 100.00