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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200111

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
4
4
0
0
4
6
2
0
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
25
18
18
61
4
0
0
4
29
18
18
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
25
25
0
50
50
0
0
50
75
25
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
38
28
28
94
6
0
0
6
45
28
28
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.277
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.39 0.22
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: -0.085
true Heidke skill score: 0.143 true Heidke skill score: 0.000
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: -0.085
true Kuipers skill score: 0.333 true Kuipers skill score: 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.500 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.295 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.333 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.025 -0.053
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.500 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.705 1.000
samples: 8 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 12.31 %coverage: 100.00