CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200112

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
24
28
12
64
1
0
0
1
25
28
12
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
50
0
0
50
50
0
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
37
43
18
98
2
0
0
2
38
43
18
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.431
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.29 0.08
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.146
true Heidke skill score: -0.333 true Heidke skill score: 0.007
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.146
true Kuipers skill score: -0.500 true Kuipers skill score: 0.006
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.438 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 -0.333
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.012 -0.014
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.562 1.000
samples: 2 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 3.08 %coverage: 100.00