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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200201

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
4
1
1
6
3
0
1
4
1
0
1
2
8
1
3
12

contingency table
fcst
obs
4
1
1
6
34
11
12
57
1
0
1
2
39
12
14
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
33
8
8
50
25
0
8
33
8
0
8
17
67
8
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
6
2
2
9
52
17
18
88
2
0
2
3
60
18
22
100

hitrate: 0.417 hitrate: 0.246
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.75 4.00 0.67
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.15 4.75 0.14
Heidke skill score: 0.125 Heidke skill score: -0.131
true Heidke skill score: 0.023 true Heidke skill score: 0.029
Kuipers skill score: 0.125 Kuipers skill score: -0.131
true Kuipers skill score: 0.029 true Kuipers skill score: 0.040
threat score:
0.400 0.000 0.250
threat score:
0.098 0.190 0.067
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.071 0.143
equitable threat score:
0.011 0.010 0.039
probability of detection:
0.500 0.000 0.333
probability of detection:
0.103 0.917 0.071
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.333 1.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.333 0.807 0.500
samples: 12 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 18.46 %coverage: 100.00