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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200203

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
0
4
4
2
0
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
25
22
13
60
3
1
0
4
28
24
13
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
17
0
17
17
0
0
17
50
17
0
67
67
33
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
38
34
20
92
5
2
0
6
43
37
20
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.338
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.25 0.50 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.04 2.50 0.31
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.008
true Heidke skill score: -0.200 true Heidke skill score: -0.033
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.008
true Kuipers skill score: -0.375 true Kuipers skill score: -0.033
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.355 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.154 -0.125 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.015 -0.004 -0.049
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.917 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.633 1.000
samples: 6 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 9.23 %coverage: 100.00