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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200206

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
25
23
17
65
0
1
0
1
25
24
17
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
0
50
0
50
0
50
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
38
35
26
98
0
2
0
2
38
36
26
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.348
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 1.00 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.71 0.06
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.023
true Heidke skill score: -1.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.021
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.023
true Kuipers skill score: -1.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.021
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.348 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.333 -0.333
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.015 -0.015
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.958 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.646 1.000
samples: 2 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 3.03 %coverage: 100.00