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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200207

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
29
22
14
65
0
0
0
0
29
23
14
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
100
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
44
33
21
98
0
0
0
0
44
35
21
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.333
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.03 2.83 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.000
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.025
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.000
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.026
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.333 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.015 -0.015 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.957 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.662 0.000
samples: 1 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 1.52 %coverage: 100.00