CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200210

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
18
15
31
64
0
0
0
0
19
15
31
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
50
0
0
50
50
0
0
50
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
28
23
48
98
0
0
0
0
29
23
48
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.246
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.50 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.05 4.27 0.00
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: -0.131
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.019
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: -0.131
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.023
threat score:
0.500 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.053 0.234 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.038 0.005 0.000
probability of detection:
0.500 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.053 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.766 0.000
samples: 2 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 3.08 %coverage: 100.00