CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200211

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
4
2
8
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
5
2
9

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
4
2
8
32
18
7
57
0
0
0
0
34
22
9
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
22
44
22
89
0
11
0
11
0
0
0
0
22
56
22
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
3
6
3
12
49
28
11
88
0
0
0
0
52
34
14
100

hitrate: 0.333 hitrate: 0.308
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
4.00 0.20 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.24 2.59 0.00
Heidke skill score: 0.000 Heidke skill score: -0.038
true Heidke skill score: 0.100 true Heidke skill score: -0.084
Kuipers skill score: 0.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.038
true Kuipers skill score: 0.125 true Kuipers skill score: -0.090
threat score:
0.250 0.200 0.000
threat score:
0.050 0.295 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.036 0.100 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.061 -0.031 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.200 0.000
probability of detection:
0.059 0.818 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.750 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.750 0.684 0.000
samples: 9 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 13.85 %coverage: 100.00