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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200301

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
1
3
3
1
0
4
4
1
0
5
9
2
1
12

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
1
3
47
6
4
57
4
1
0
5
53
7
5
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
17
0
8
25
25
8
0
33
33
8
0
42
75
17
8
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
3
0
2
5
72
9
6
88
6
2
0
8
82
11
8
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.123
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.33 2.00 5.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.06 8.14 1.00
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: -0.315
true Heidke skill score: -0.038 true Heidke skill score: -0.017
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: -0.315
true Kuipers skill score: -0.069 true Kuipers skill score: -0.047
threat score:
0.200 0.200 0.000
threat score:
0.037 0.103 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.032 0.077 -0.075
equitable threat score:
-0.009 -0.003 -0.040
probability of detection:
0.222 0.500 0.000
probability of detection:
0.038 0.857 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.333 0.750 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.333 0.895 1.000
samples: 12 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 18.46 %coverage: 100.00