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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199501

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
10
15
0
5
11
16

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
10
32
42
0
5
10
15
0
15
42
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
6
0
31
63
94
0
31
69
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
18
56
74
0
9
18
26
0
26
74
100

hitrate: 0.625 hitrate: 0.351
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.20 1.36
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 2.80 0.36
Heidke skill score: 0.438 Heidke skill score: 0.026
true Heidke skill score: -0.116 true Heidke skill score: -0.060
Kuipers skill score: 0.438 Kuipers skill score: 0.026
true Kuipers skill score: -0.091 true Kuipers skill score: -0.095
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.625
threat score:
0.000 0.213 0.213
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.055 -0.055
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.029 -0.029
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.909
probability of detection:
0.000 0.667 0.238
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.333
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.762 0.333
samples: 16 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 28.07 %coverage: 100.00