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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199504

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
5
1
7
2
6
2
10

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
1
3
21
18
8
47
1
5
1
7
23
24
10
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
10
10
10
30
0
0
0
0
10
50
10
70
20
60
20
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
2
2
5
37
32
14
82
2
9
2
12
40
42
18
100

hitrate: 0.200 hitrate: 0.351
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.50 0.00 3.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.13 1.96 0.70
Heidke skill score: -0.200 Heidke skill score: 0.026
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.064
Kuipers skill score: -0.200 Kuipers skill score: 0.026
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.062
threat score:
0.250 0.000 0.125
threat score:
0.040 0.340 0.062
equitable threat score:
0.118 0.000 -0.061
equitable threat score:
-0.009 -0.054 -0.015
probability of detection:
0.500 0.000 0.500
probability of detection:
0.043 0.750 0.100
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.667 0.000 0.857
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.667 0.617 0.857
samples: 10 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 17.54 %coverage: 100.00