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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199505

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
1
2
0
0
3
3
4
1
2
7
4
2
6
12

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
1
2
16
17
15
48
4
1
2
7
20
19
18
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
8
8
17
0
0
25
25
33
8
17
58
33
17
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
2
4
28
30
26
84
7
2
4
12
35
33
32
100

hitrate: 0.167 hitrate: 0.333
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.50 1.50 1.17
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.10 2.53 0.39
Heidke skill score: -0.250 Heidke skill score: 0.000
true Heidke skill score: -0.364 true Heidke skill score: 0.002
Kuipers skill score: -0.250 Kuipers skill score: 0.000
true Kuipers skill score: -0.364 true Kuipers skill score: 0.002
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.182
threat score:
0.000 0.340 0.087
equitable threat score:
-0.125 -0.111 -0.200
equitable threat score:
-0.033 0.029 -0.010
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.333
probability of detection:
0.000 0.895 0.111
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 1.000 0.714
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.646 0.714
samples: 12 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 21.05 %coverage: 100.00