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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199506

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
1
8
3
4
1
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
22
11
15
48
3
4
1
8
25
15
16
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
38
50
13
100
38
50
13
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
39
20
27
86
5
7
2
14
45
27
29
100

hitrate: 0.125 hitrate: 0.214
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 8.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.20 0.50
Heidke skill score: -0.313 Heidke skill score: -0.179
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.077
Kuipers skill score: -0.313 Kuipers skill score: -0.179
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.087
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.125
threat score:
0.000 0.212 0.043
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.047 -0.062
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.733 0.062
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.875
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.771 0.875
samples: 8 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 14.29 %coverage: 100.00