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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199507

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
2
1
5
3
0
2
5
0
3
11
14
5
5
14
24

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
2
1
5
11
14
13
38
0
3
11
14
13
19
25
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
8
8
4
21
13
0
8
21
0
13
46
58
21
21
58
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
4
4
2
9
19
25
23
67
0
5
19
25
23
33
44
100

hitrate: 0.542 hitrate: 0.474
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 1.00 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.38 2.00 0.56
Heidke skill score: 0.313 Heidke skill score: 0.211
true Heidke skill score: 0.200 true Heidke skill score: 0.190
Kuipers skill score: 0.313 Kuipers skill score: 0.211
true Kuipers skill score: 0.200 true Kuipers skill score: 0.192
threat score:
0.250 0.000 0.647
threat score:
0.125 0.326 0.393
equitable threat score:
0.138 -0.116 0.321
equitable threat score:
0.058 0.044 0.222
probability of detection:
0.400 0.000 0.786
probability of detection:
0.154 0.737 0.440
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.600 1.000 0.214
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.600 0.632 0.214
samples: 24 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 42.11 %coverage: 100.00