CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199508

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
15
17
1
1
15
17

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
6
8
26
40
1
1
15
17
7
9
41
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
6
88
100
6
6
88
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
11
14
46
70
2
2
26
30
12
16
72
100

hitrate: 0.882 hitrate: 0.404
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 1.13
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.44 0.41
Heidke skill score: 0.824 Heidke skill score: 0.105
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.116
Kuipers skill score: 0.824 Kuipers skill score: 0.105
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.177
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.882
threat score:
0.000 0.195 0.349
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.049 0.090
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.889 0.366
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.118
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.800 0.118
samples: 17 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 29.82 %coverage: 100.00