CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199509

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
1
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
16
22
17
55
0
1
1
2
16
23
18
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
100
0
50
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
28
39
30
96
0
2
2
4
28
40
32
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.404
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.39 0.11
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: 0.105
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.005
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: 0.105
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.005
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.393 0.053
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.006 0.020
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.957 0.056
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.600 0.500
samples: 2 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 3.51 %coverage: 100.00