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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199511

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
5
0
1
4
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
27
5
19
51
0
1
4
5
27
6
23
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
80
100
0
20
80
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
48
9
34
91
0
2
7
9
48
11
41
100

hitrate: 0.800 hitrate: 0.161
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.25
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 8.50 0.22
Heidke skill score: 0.700 Heidke skill score: -0.259
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.031
Kuipers skill score: 0.700 Kuipers skill score: -0.259
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.045
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.800
threat score:
0.000 0.096 0.167
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.010 0.089
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.833 0.174
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.200
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.902 0.200
samples: 5 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 8.93 %coverage: 100.00