CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199512

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
15
20
20
55
0
1
0
1
15
21
20
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
0
50
0
50
0
50
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
27
36
36
98
0
2
0
2
27
38
36
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.357
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 1.00 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.62 0.05
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.036
true Heidke skill score: -1.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.028
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.036
true Kuipers skill score: -1.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.027
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.357 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.333 -0.333
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.018 -0.017
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.952 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.636 1.000
samples: 2 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 3.57 %coverage: 100.00