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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199601

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
1
13
2
16
1
15
3
19

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
24
12
40
1
13
2
16
5
37
14
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
11
5
16
5
68
11
84
5
79
16
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
7
43
21
71
2
23
4
29
9
66
25
100

hitrate: 0.211 hitrate: 0.464
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.20 5.33
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.08 1.14
Heidke skill score: -0.184 Heidke skill score: 0.196
true Heidke skill score: -0.063 true Heidke skill score: -0.173
Kuipers skill score: -0.184 Kuipers skill score: 0.196
true Kuipers skill score: -0.135 true Kuipers skill score: -0.160
threat score:
0.000 0.125 0.118
threat score:
0.000 0.453 0.071
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.027 -0.036
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.091 -0.083
probability of detection:
0.000 0.133 0.667
probability of detection:
0.000 0.649 0.143
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.333 0.875
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.400 0.875
samples: 19 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 33.93 %coverage: 100.00