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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199602

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
5
2
7
0
6
4
10
0
11
6
17

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
5
27
14
46
0
6
4
10
5
33
18
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
29
12
41
0
35
24
59
0
65
35
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
9
48
25
82
0
11
7
18
9
59
32
100

hitrate: 0.529 hitrate: 0.554
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.64 1.67
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.39 0.56
Heidke skill score: 0.294 Heidke skill score: 0.330
true Heidke skill score: 0.105 true Heidke skill score: 0.026
Kuipers skill score: 0.294 Kuipers skill score: 0.330
true Kuipers skill score: 0.121 true Kuipers skill score: 0.022
threat score:
0.000 0.385 0.333
threat score:
0.000 0.519 0.167
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.056 0.056
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.004 0.038
probability of detection:
0.000 0.455 0.667
probability of detection:
0.000 0.818 0.222
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.286 0.600
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.413 0.600
samples: 17 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 30.36 %coverage: 100.00