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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199603

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
5
1
0
6
1
1
1
3
3
2
4
9
9
4
5
18

contingency table
fcst
obs
5
1
0
6
33
2
6
41
3
2
4
9
41
5
10
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
28
6
0
33
6
6
6
17
17
11
22
50
50
22
28
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
9
2
0
11
59
4
11
73
5
4
7
16
73
9
18
100

hitrate: 0.556 hitrate: 0.196
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.67 0.75 1.80
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.15 8.20 0.90
Heidke skill score: 0.333 Heidke skill score: -0.205
true Heidke skill score: 0.324 true Heidke skill score: 0.029
Kuipers skill score: 0.333 Kuipers skill score: -0.205
true Kuipers skill score: 0.342 true Kuipers skill score: 0.056
threat score:
0.500 0.167 0.400
threat score:
0.119 0.045 0.267
equitable threat score:
0.286 0.062 0.200
equitable threat score:
0.016 -0.041 0.179
probability of detection:
0.556 0.250 0.800
probability of detection:
0.122 0.400 0.400
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.167 0.667 0.556
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.167 0.951 0.556
samples: 18 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 32.14 %coverage: 100.00