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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199604

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
3
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
23
18
13
54
0
1
1
2
23
19
14
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
0
25
25
50
0
25
75
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
41
32
23
96
0
2
2
4
41
34
25
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.339
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 2.00 0.67
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.84 0.14
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: 0.009
true Heidke skill score: -0.500 true Heidke skill score: 0.005
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: 0.009
true Kuipers skill score: -0.667 true Kuipers skill score: 0.005
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.250
threat score:
0.000 0.327 0.067
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.200 -0.200
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.009 0.034
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.333
probability of detection:
0.000 0.947 0.071
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.667 0.500
samples: 4 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 7.14 %coverage: 100.00