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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199607

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
6
8
19
6
6
9
21

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
17
7
13
37
5
6
8
19
22
13
21
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
5
0
5
10
24
29
38
90
29
29
43
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
30
13
23
66
9
11
14
34
39
23
38
100

hitrate: 0.381 hitrate: 0.268
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.33 2.11
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.85 0.90
Heidke skill score: 0.071 Heidke skill score: -0.098
true Heidke skill score: -0.058 true Heidke skill score: -0.018
Kuipers skill score: 0.071 Kuipers skill score: -0.098
true Kuipers skill score: -0.052 true Kuipers skill score: -0.020
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.400
threat score:
0.000 0.163 0.250
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.077 -0.012
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.046 0.035
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.889
probability of detection:
0.000 0.538 0.381
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.579
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.811 0.579
samples: 21 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 37.50 %coverage: 100.00