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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199608

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
10
6
20
4
11
6
21

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
10
11
15
36
4
10
6
20
14
21
21
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
5
0
5
19
48
29
95
19
52
29
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
18
20
27
64
7
18
11
36
25
38
38
100

hitrate: 0.333 hitrate: 0.304
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.09 3.33
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.71 0.95
Heidke skill score: 0.000 Heidke skill score: -0.045
true Heidke skill score: 0.052 true Heidke skill score: -0.114
Kuipers skill score: 0.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.045
true Kuipers skill score: 0.060 true Kuipers skill score: -0.109
threat score:
0.000 0.091 0.300
threat score:
0.000 0.239 0.171
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.045 0.020
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.077 -0.055
probability of detection:
0.000 0.091 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.524 0.286
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.700
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.694 0.700
samples: 21 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 37.50 %coverage: 100.00