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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199609

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
4
0
3
1
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
21
26
5
52
0
3
1
4
21
29
6
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
75
25
100
0
75
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
38
46
9
93
0
5
2
7
38
52
11
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.482
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 4.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.79 0.67
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: 0.223
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.012
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: 0.223
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.011
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.250
threat score:
0.000 0.473 0.111
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.033 0.067
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.897 0.167
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.750
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.500 0.750
samples: 4 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 7.14 %coverage: 100.00