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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199610

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
4
0
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
17
35
2
54
0
2
0
2
17
37
2
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
50
0
50
0
50
0
50
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
30
63
4
96
0
4
0
4
30
66
4
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.625
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.50 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.46 1.00
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: 0.438
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.037
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: 0.437
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.028
threat score:
0.000 0.500 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.625 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.033 -0.018
probability of detection:
0.000 0.500 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.946 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.352 1.000
samples: 4 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 7.14 %coverage: 100.00