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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199611

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
0
3
2
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
33
13
5
51
0
2
2
4
33
15
7
55

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
20
0
20
0
40
40
80
0
60
40
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
60
24
9
93
0
4
4
7
60
27
13
100

hitrate: 0.600 hitrate: 0.273
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.33 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.40 0.57
Heidke skill score: 0.400 Heidke skill score: -0.091
true Heidke skill score: 0.286 true Heidke skill score: 0.014
Kuipers skill score: 0.400 Kuipers skill score: -0.091
true Kuipers skill score: 0.333 true Kuipers skill score: 0.019
threat score:
0.000 0.333 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.245 0.222
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.167 0.167
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.023 0.176
probability of detection:
0.000 0.333 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.867 0.286
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.745 0.500
samples: 5 out of 55 samples: 55 out of 55
%coverage: 9.09 %coverage: 100.00