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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199612

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
6
19
30
55
1
0
0
1
7
19
30
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
67
67
33
0
0
33
33
0
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
11
34
54
98
2
0
0
2
13
34
54
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.339
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- 0.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.89 0.03
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.009
true Heidke skill score: -0.286 true Heidke skill score: -0.005
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.009
true Kuipers skill score: -0.500 true Kuipers skill score: -0.006
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.345 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 -0.286
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.009 -0.018
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.655 1.000
samples: 3 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 5.36 %coverage: 100.00