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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199701

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
6
12
0
6
6
12

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
31
11
44
0
6
6
12
2
37
17
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
100
0
50
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
55
20
79
0
11
11
21
4
66
30
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.661
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.19 0.71
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: 0.491
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.184
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: 0.491
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.163
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.620 0.261
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.092 0.122
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.838 0.353
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.295 0.500
samples: 12 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 21.43 %coverage: 100.00