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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199704

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
1
1
6
4
2
1
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
37
10
3
50
4
1
1
6
41
11
4
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
14
0
14
57
14
14
86
57
29
14
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
66
18
5
89
7
2
2
11
73
20
7
100

hitrate: 0.286 hitrate: 0.196
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.50 6.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.55 1.50
Heidke skill score: -0.071 Heidke skill score: -0.205
true Heidke skill score: 0.146 true Heidke skill score: 0.016
Kuipers skill score: -0.071 Kuipers skill score: -0.205
true Kuipers skill score: 0.214 true Kuipers skill score: 0.032
threat score:
0.000 0.500 0.167
threat score:
0.000 0.196 0.111
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.417 0.028
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.004 0.067
probability of detection:
0.000 0.500 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.909 0.250
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.833
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.800 0.833
samples: 7 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 12.50 %coverage: 100.00