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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199705

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
1
7
12
5
1
7
13

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
27
3
13
43
4
1
7
12
32
4
20
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
8
0
0
8
0
0
0
0
31
8
54
92
38
8
54
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
48
5
23
77
7
2
13
21
57
7
36
100

hitrate: 0.615 hitrate: 0.196
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.20 0.00 1.71
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.03 10.75 0.60
Heidke skill score: 0.423 Heidke skill score: -0.205
true Heidke skill score: 0.188 true Heidke skill score: 0.064
Kuipers skill score: 0.423 Kuipers skill score: -0.205
true Kuipers skill score: 0.160 true Kuipers skill score: 0.101
threat score:
0.200 0.000 0.583
threat score:
0.031 0.068 0.280
equitable threat score:
0.133 0.000 0.097
equitable threat score:
0.014 -0.002 0.131
probability of detection:
0.200 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.031 0.750 0.350
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.417
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.930 0.417
samples: 13 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 23.21 %coverage: 100.00